About 19.8 million boxes of fresh-market pears are expected to ship from the Pacific Northwest next season, 2% more than the 2012-13 crop.

If the estimate holds, the 2013-14 crop would be 4% larger than the five-year average and the third-largest crop ever, according to the annual estimate from the Milwaukie, Ore.-based Pear Bureau Northwest.

Harvest is expected to begin on time, according to the bureau, with starkrimsons kicking off the deal in August, followed by bartletts. Anjous, boscs, comics, concordes, forelles and seckels will follow in early September through mid-October.

No significant weather issues have affected the growing season as of early June, according to the forecast.

By variety, green anjou production is expected to be up 3% in 2013-14, 2% higher than the 5-year average. Bartletts should be down about 5% from last season, but still 9% higher than the 5-year average.

Bosc production is expected to climb 7% and red anjou production 6%.

Production of red angelo and other red winter pears is expected to double in 2013-14.

Green anjous should make up about 53% of next season’s Northwest crop, bartletts 22% and boscs 15%.

The bureau’s forecast also projects grown in organic pear production. About 870,000 boxes should ship next season, 3% more than this season and 14% higher than the five-year average.