California almond growers may have been a little overly optimistic when they reported their estimated crops in May.
The California Agricultural Statistics Service released its objective forecast June 30 that estimates a crop of 1.35 billion meat pounds.
That's 7 percent less than the subjective forecast of 1.45 billion pounds released on May 8.
The objective forecast found average nut set was down 25 percent from the 2008 crop while average kernel weight was up 10 percent.
The objective forecast is based on counting nuts on trees in selected orchards. This year's forecast is based on 710,000 bearing acres.
The subjective forecast is based on a phone survey where growers are asked how large they think their crop is.
This year's forecast compares with the 2008 crop, which is 1.6 billion pounds as of May 31.