Today's Pricing

WATERMELON — F.O.B.S AS OF MAY 13

MEXICO CROSSINGS THROUGH NOGALES, ARIZ. — Crossings (705-766-766, seedless 683-751-759, seeded 22-15-7) — Movement expected about the same. Trading seeded slow, others moderate. Prices seedless 35-60 counts lower, others generally unchanged. Red-flesh seedless-type per pound 24-inch bins approximately 35-60 counts mostly 20 cents, 75-80s 14-16 cents; red-flesh seeded-type approximately 35-55 counts 12-14 cents. Flat cartons red-flesh seedless miniature 6-9s $7-9. Quality variable. Many present shipments from prior bookings and/or previous commitments.

LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY, TEXAS — Shipments (29-96-255, seedless 26-83-223, seeded 3-13-32) — Movement expected to decrease slightly. Trading very active at slightly lower prices. Prices 24-inch bins per-pound red-flesh seedless-type approximately 35-60 counts 28 cents, seeded-type approximately 28-35 counts mostly 21-22 cents. Quality generally good. Most present shipments from prior bookings and/or previous commitments at lower prices.

FLORIDA — Shipments (124-159-233, red-flesh seeded 16-29-53, red-flesh seedless 51-130-180) — Movement expected to increase as more growers start the season in central Florida. Harvesting slowed. Trading very active. Prices generally unchanged. 24-inch bins per-pound red-flesh seeded-type 35s 24-25 cents; red-flesh seedless-type 45 count 29-30 cents, 60 count 29-30 cents. Quality generally good.

IMPERIAL AND COACHELLA VALLEYS, CALIF., AND CENTRAL AND WESTERN ARIZONA — Shipments (AZ seedless 0-23-16, CA 0-26-78, seedless 0-24-73, seeded 0-2-5) — Movement from western Arizona, Imperial and Coachella valleys expected to increase seasonally. Trading fairly active at slightly lower prices. Prices slightly lower. Red-flesh seedless-type per pound 24-inch bins approximately 35 and 45 counts mostly 22 cents. Organic red-flesh seedless 24-inch bins per pound approximately 35 and 45 counts 35 cents; miniature carton 6s and 8s $20.50. Quality generally good. Harvest central Arizona expected to begin the week of May 27.



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Opinion

Jury’s out on produce pricing

Andy Nelson, Markets EditorAndy Nelson, Markets Editor So much for food inflation.

The next time one of your relatives or friends starts complaining about the high cost of produce and “Can’t you do something about it!” just point them to the recently released “Vegetables 2012” summary from the U.S. Department of Agriculture’s National Agricultural Statistics Service.

According to the USDA, production of 24 leading U.S. vegetable and melon crops rose 1% in 2012, but their overall value fell by 6%, to $10.1 billion.

The report got me thinking historically. I was interested in how several trends tracked by USDA in the vegetables summaries have changed over the years.

Five years ago there was a lot more vegetable and melon production in the U.S., and the overall value was higher — though not proportionally higher.

Production fell from 494 million cwt. in 2007 to 438 million cwt. in 2012, while value fell from $10.9 billion to $10.1 billion.

Go back another five years, and it’s hard to find a definite trend one way or the other. The production total splits the difference: about 457 million cwt. were produced in 2002.

Despite the value drop from 2011 to 2012, an upward price trend over the years is evident.

While growers produced 19 million more cwt. in 2002 than in 2012, the value of the crop was more than $700 million lower a decade ago.

Inflation also can be seen looking backward from 2002. In 1992, about 370 million cwt. of the top vegetable and melon crops were produced in the U.S., according to USDA.

In 2002, that would have generated about $7.5 billion. In 1992, though, the total value came in at $6.15 billion.

The annual vegetables report also tracks the top vegetable and melon producers by state.

California accounted for 49% of production in 2012 and 50% of total value. Production in 2007 was similar — the Golden State accounted for 50% of production.

But value was considerably higher five years ago. Despite having just 1% more of the production pie, California accounted for 54% of total value in 2007 — 7% more than last year.

Again, however, going further back in time reveals the difficulty in pinpointing trends.

In 2002, California accounted for 48% of production but just 47% of value. And in 1992, the state made up 46% of production and a little less than 47% of value.

I also dug up some interesting things related to the “also rans” — the states that account for the biggest chunks of the other half of the pie California hasn’t gobbled up.

Five years ago, numbers two through four — Florida, Arizona and Georgia — were in the same order as last year, in production and value.

There was a change, however, at No. 5 (the report only tracks the top five producing states). In 2007, it was New York. Last year, it was Washington.

Go back another five years, and it’s the same pattern: Numbers two through four are the same, but No. 5 is the wild card — in the case of 2002, Texas, with 4.5% percent of total production and 3.4% of total value.

A decade earlier is when you start to see more change at the top. in 1992, Texas, not Georgia, held the No. 4 spot, though Georgia was close behind at No. 5.

Another interesting pair of numbers from that year: Florida accounted for 14.3% of production and 22.4% of total value, almost half of California’s.

Maybe some of you can remember friends and relatives complaining about green bean, corn and tomato prices that year. They actually would have had a point.

anelson@thepacker.com

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