Post forecasts grapefruit exports will increase nearly six percent to 200,000 MT for MY2011 on increased production and higher exportable supplies. Post estimates a ten percent decline in grapefruit exports to 189,100 MT for MY2010 as compared to the previous year’s exports of 210,186 MT, on a lower production base and lower exportable supplies.
Post forecasts orange exports at 1.15 MMT for MY2011, a five percent increase from the previous year, on higher exportable supplies. Post estimates orange exports at 1.1 MMT for MY2010. According to industry reports, orange exports equal 1.0 MMT as of November 15 in MY2010. That is a 14 percent increase compared to 2009 exports during the same period. The Navel export season has stretched over a longer period in MY2010 than in the past years given the shift to late harvest varieties. This longer harvest season is expected to result in a higher volume of exports. Although the EU has been SA’s traditional market, industry reports show that citrus shipments are shifting from the European Union into new markets like the Middle East and Russia. Industry officials posit that these markets have recovered from the global recession, while sluggish demand persists in Europe, UK, and Japan.